Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 8.731413 10.027100 11.470227 13.200479 15.223557 17.520045 20.332717
2025-02-02 7.102549 8.787958 10.825675 13.484878 16.884145 21.111246 26.808446
2025-02-09 6.238130 8.150016 10.605200 14.018189 18.685405 24.909958 33.949855
2025-02-16 5.324478 7.256560 9.857257 13.657465 19.141584 26.880723 38.828442
2025-02-23 4.706463 6.650908 9.376531 13.535786 19.828206 29.163534 44.386111
2025-03-02 4.213680 6.146709 8.954774 13.407944 20.435616 31.343102 50.038931
2025-03-09 3.789022 5.685532 8.529674 13.198743 20.854185 33.235315 55.454119
2025-03-16 3.409443 5.247163 8.083228 12.887120 21.042812 34.740879 60.390432
2025-03-23 3.270360 5.165647 8.178108 13.449044 22.728625 38.945012 70.707942
2025-03-30 3.069815 4.962385 8.050817 13.614491 23.736330 42.074767 79.508631
2025-04-06 2.849112 4.703049 7.801606 13.533904 24.281331 44.412861 87.116098
2025-04-13 2.639982 4.443203 7.524658 13.368598 24.639429 46.425913 94.358654
2025-04-20 2.547789 4.380832 7.591158 13.849927 26.308345 51.257541 108.467917
2025-04-27 2.435555 4.272275 7.563774 14.149441 27.655842 55.628686 122.366650
2025-05-04 2.368208 4.238201 7.667687 14.711877 29.603976 61.526170 140.863956
2025-05-11 2.187183 3.976840 7.319778 14.331412 29.519777 62.992192 148.988654
2025-05-18 2.053665 3.794317 7.106599 14.203088 29.961318 65.690059 160.677349
2025-05-25 1.931491 3.623589 6.901190 14.068271 30.369034 68.360628 172.794930
2025-06-01 1.810873 3.446305 6.667386 13.847672 30.552594 70.519213 183.948339
2025-06-08 1.689684 3.258615 6.396899 13.519106 30.443632 71.944129 193.335586
2025-06-15 1.666362 3.267388 6.532553 14.111613 32.610115 79.408896 221.679761
2025-06-22 1.605517 3.193733 6.487846 14.286090 33.771548 84.443367 243.853872
2025-06-29 1.526562 3.076069 6.338875 14.201103 34.267634 87.771717 261.441247